Tagged “probability”

2 articles.

30 August 20267 min readProbability Foundations

Probability from Zero: The Language of Uncertainty

Build probability from the ground up: possible worlds, the sample space, the two basic axioms, and the addition and multiplication rules, each derived rather than asserted, with worked numeric examples.

ProbabilityMathematicsArtificial Intelligence

29 August 20266 min readProbability Foundations

Bayes' Theorem and Belief Updating

Derive Bayes' theorem from the definition of conditional probability, then work the base-rate example that fools almost everyone, twice: once with the formula and once by pure counting.

ProbabilityMathematicsArtificial Intelligence